Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 2.855483 3.356140 3.940117 4.676975 5.589513 6.692452 8.141551
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.189999 2.833718 3.680869 4.901163 6.654435 9.147947 13.087321
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 1.785199 2.448035 3.387654 4.860991 7.198780 10.925171 17.675663
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1.542728 2.214577 3.225249 4.924376 7.857025 13.024177 23.640878
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.357949 2.023491 3.074987 4.949923 8.430913 15.139836 30.645663
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.248982 1.926955 3.048650 5.165038 9.386613 18.297528 41.621333
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.110743 1.759392 2.871073 5.062817 9.691262 20.214564 50.831901
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.012058 1.643366 2.762168 5.063483 10.203493 22.798437 63.729822
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.919585 1.525209 2.629863 4.987686 10.522612 25.040629 77.411633
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.862836 1.463468 2.593071 5.102108 11.322079 28.932172 100.680719
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.790616 1.364193 2.468705 4.999579 11.551420 31.289490 120.415797
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.766476 1.352810 2.517844 5.301421 12.946927 38.073115 169.934925
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.714883 1.290692 2.471610 5.416687 14.022216 45.081464 238.471214
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.676389 1.251900 2.474173 5.672432 15.704744 56.167930 368.951398
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.621887 1.172209 2.371583 5.625175 16.401166 63.860593 504.445116
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.582108 1.118177 2.318426 5.700918 17.579252 75.262272 740.689836
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.544361 1.063600 2.254890 5.731479 18.626102 87.425221 1081.385404
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.522461 1.041126 2.265454 5.989042 20.740377 109.258689 1845.889030
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.484386 0.977490 2.162980 5.866595 21.193437 120.866541 2577.200675
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.455863 0.932705 2.102415 5.867392 22.234505 139.083937 3975.240798
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.426368 0.882466 2.020356 5.776661 22.812430 154.909372 5875.203235
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.408524 0.858067 2.004186 5.913648 24.661181 187.313400 10885.012363
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.382756 0.811801 1.921527 5.790894 25.064398 206.006753 16721.676092